Eredivisie predicted table

10,000 simulations of the 198 remaining matches with our goal model, starting from the real table (results to 2026-11-08). Favourites for the title: PSV Eindhoven (70%). Most at risk: Willem II (100%), Zwolle (28%).

#	Club	Pts now	Predicted pts	Title	Top 2	Relegation
1	PSV Eindhoven	26	76	70%	90%	0%
2	Feyenoord	25	69	13%	45%	0%
3	Ajax	25	67	9%	32%	0%
4	Twente	24	67	7%	29%	0%
5	AZ Alkmaar	23	58	1%	3%	0%
6	Heerenveen	21	56	0%	1%	0%
7	For Sittard	20	48	0%	0%	0%
8	Groningen	15	47	0%	0%	0%
9	Nijmegen	14	46	0%	0%	0%
10	Go Ahead Eagles	17	44	0%	0%	1%
11	Cambuur	15	44	0%	0%	1%
12	Utrecht	12	41	0%	0%	3%
13	Telstar	10	39	0%	0%	5%
14	Sparta Rotterdam	12	35	0%	0%	17%
15	Den Haag	9	34	0%	0%	19%
16	Excelsior	11	34	0%	0%	26%
17	Zwolle	12	33	0%	0%	28%
18	Willem II	3	13	0%	0%	100%

Ties on points are split by goal difference. Split formats and play-offs are not modelled; relegation counts the bottom 2 places. Updated several times a day.

Eredivisie predicted table: quick answers

Who will win the Eredivisie in 2026/27?+

Our simulations make PSV Eindhoven favourites at 70%, ahead of Feyenoord (13%) and Ajax (9%).

Who will be relegated from the Eredivisie?+

The clubs most likely to go down are Willem II (100%), Zwolle (28%).

What is your Eredivisie table prediction for 2026/27?+

Our predicted final table has PSV Eindhoven (76 pts), Feyenoord (69 pts), Ajax (67 pts) at the top and Zwolle, Willem II at the bottom, by expected points over 10,000 simulations. It updates several times a day as results come in.

How is the predicted table calculated?+

We simulate every remaining fixture 10,000 times with our Dixon-Coles goal model and add the results to the current table. The percentages are the share of simulations in which each outcome happened.