Premiership predicted table
10,000 simulations of the 57 remaining matches with our goal model, starting from the real table (results to 2026-11-08). Favourites for the title: Celtic (67%). Most at risk: Kilmarnock (58%).
| # | Club | Pts now | Predicted pts | Title | Top 2 | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 31 | 49 | 67% | 98% | 0% |
| 2 | Rangers | 27 | 47 | 32% | 93% | 0% |
| 3 | Hearts | 20 | 37 | 1% | 6% | 0% |
| 4 | Falkirk | 21 | 35 | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| 5 | Dundee United | 17 | 29 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 6 | Dundee | 17 | 29 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7 | St Johnstone | 17 | 26 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 8 | Hibernian | 11 | 26 | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| 9 | Motherwell | 13 | 25 | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| 10 | St Mirren | 14 | 23 | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 11 | Aberdeen | 11 | 21 | 0% | 0% | 23% |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 18 | 0% | 0% | 58% |
Celtic
Rangers
Hearts
Falkirk
Dundee United
Dundee
St Johnstone
Hibernian
Motherwell
St Mirren
Aberdeen
KilmarnockTies on points are split by goal difference. Split formats and play-offs are not modelled; relegation counts the bottom 1 places. Updated several times a day.
Premiership predicted table: quick answers
Who will win the Premiership in 2026/27?+
Our simulations make Celtic favourites at 67%, ahead of Rangers (32%) and Hearts (1%).
Who will be relegated from the Premiership?+
The clubs most likely to go down are Kilmarnock (58%).
What is your Premiership table prediction for 2026/27?+
Our predicted final table has Celtic (49 pts), Rangers (47 pts), Hearts (37 pts) at the top and Kilmarnock at the bottom, by expected points over 10,000 simulations. It updates several times a day as results come in.
How is the predicted table calculated?+
We simulate every remaining fixture 10,000 times with our Dixon-Coles goal model and add the results to the current table. The percentages are the share of simulations in which each outcome happened.