Serie A predicted table

10,000 simulations of the 270 remaining matches with our goal model, starting from the real table (results to 2026-11-08). Favourites for the title: Inter (57%). Most at risk: Monza (73%), Venezia (69%), Udinese (49%).

#	Club	Pts now	Predicted pts	Title	Top 4	Relegation
1	Inter	28	85	57%	99%	0%
2	Roma	27	82	35%	97%	0%
3	Como	23	73	4%	69%	0%
4	Lazio	29	71	2%	53%	0%
5	Milan	24	69	1%	38%	0%
6	Frosinone	20	65	0%	22%	0%
7	Napoli	15	63	0%	12%	0%
8	Juventus	18	62	0%	9%	0%
9	Bologna	17	55	0%	1%	0%
10	Atalanta	14	54	0%	1%	0%
11	Cagliari	16	46	0%	0%	2%
12	Genoa	13	46	0%	0%	2%
13	Torino	14	44	0%	0%	4%
14	Fiorentina	9	44	0%	0%	5%
15	Sassuolo	8	39	0%	0%	18%
16	Parma	8	35	0%	0%	36%
17	Lecce	10	34	0%	0%	42%
18	Udinese	5	33	0%	0%	49%
19	Venezia	6	30	0%	0%	69%
20	Monza	7	29	0%	0%	73%

Ties on points are split by goal difference. Split formats and play-offs are not modelled; relegation counts the bottom 3 places. Updated several times a day.

Serie A predicted table: quick answers

Who will win the Serie A in 2026/27?+

Our simulations make Inter favourites at 57%, ahead of Roma (35%) and Como (4%).

Who will be relegated from the Serie A?+

The clubs most likely to go down are Monza (73%), Venezia (69%), Udinese (49%).

What is your Serie A table prediction for 2026/27?+

Our predicted final table has Inter (85 pts), Roma (82 pts), Como (73 pts) at the top and Udinese, Venezia, Monza at the bottom, by expected points over 10,000 simulations. It updates several times a day as results come in.

How is the predicted table calculated?+

We simulate every remaining fixture 10,000 times with our Dixon-Coles goal model and add the results to the current table. The percentages are the share of simulations in which each outcome happened.