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Borussia DortmundDDWDW

Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund prediction · 24 Nov 2026, 20:00 UK

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Win chance
54%Arsenal
  • Arsenal 54%
  • Draw 26%
  • Borussia Dortmund 20%

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Total goals

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Over 1.5 goals

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Both teams to score

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Match winner

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Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund preview

Arsenal host Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League on 24 Nov 2026, 20:00 UK time at Emirates Stadium.

Win chances put this down as a game with a strong favourite: Arsenal 54%, draw 26%, Borussia Dortmund 20%. Our actual call, the goals markets and the most likely scores are for VIP members.

Arsenal sit 1st on 27 points (15 scored, 5 conceded) and are in excellent form, with W-W-W-W-W in their last 5.

Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd on 21 points (16 scored, 7 conceded) and are in mixed form, with D-D-W-D-W in their last 5.

At home, Arsenal have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 league games (10–2 on goals).

Away from home, Borussia Dortmund have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 4 league games (6–4 on goals).

On average Arsenal score 1.5 and concede 0.5 per game; Borussia Dortmund score 1.8 and concede 0.8.

The betting market is more confident in Arsenal (68% without the margin, draw 20%, Borussia Dortmund 12%). The market has been the sharper guide in our backtest, so read the gap as a talking point, not an edge.

Probabilities, not guarantees. 18+. How the model works · Free Premier League predictor: call the score (£24,000 game)

Domestic form
TeamPosPtsGF–GALast 5
ArsenalPremier League12715–5WWWWW
Borussia DortmundBundesliga22116–7DDWDW
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Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund: quick answers

Who will win Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund?+

Win chances: Arsenal 54%, draw 26%, Borussia Dortmund 20%. Our call for the match is locked with a hash before kick-off and shown to VIP members. Probabilities, not guarantees.

When does Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?+

24 Nov 2026, 20:00 UK time, in the Champions League.

How are the predictions made?+

A Dixon-Coles goal model rates each team's attack and defence from recent results and turns expected goals into probabilities for every market.

Proof

This prediction is locked between 36 and 1 hours before kick-off; its hash then appears here and in the public record. Until then the numbers can still move with team news.

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