Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund prediction · 24 Nov 2026, 20:00 UK
VIP prediction
- Arsenal 54%
- Draw 26%
- Borussia Dortmund 20%
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Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund preview
Arsenal host Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League on 24 Nov 2026, 20:00 UK time at Emirates Stadium.
Win chances put this down as a game with a strong favourite: Arsenal 54%, draw 26%, Borussia Dortmund 20%. Our actual call, the goals markets and the most likely scores are for VIP members.
Arsenal sit 1st on 27 points (15 scored, 5 conceded) and are in excellent form, with W-W-W-W-W in their last 5.
Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd on 21 points (16 scored, 7 conceded) and are in mixed form, with D-D-W-D-W in their last 5.
At home, Arsenal have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 league games (10–2 on goals).
Away from home, Borussia Dortmund have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 4 league games (6–4 on goals).
On average Arsenal score 1.5 and concede 0.5 per game; Borussia Dortmund score 1.8 and concede 0.8.
The betting market is more confident in Arsenal (68% without the margin, draw 20%, Borussia Dortmund 12%). The market has been the sharper guide in our backtest, so read the gap as a talking point, not an edge.
Probabilities, not guarantees. 18+. How the model works · Free Premier League predictor: call the score (£24,000 game)
| Team | Pos | Pts | GF–GA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArsenalPremier League | 1 | 27 | 15–5 | WWWWW |
| Borussia DortmundBundesliga | 2 | 21 | 16–7 | DDWDW |
Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund: quick answers
Who will win Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund?+
Win chances: Arsenal 54%, draw 26%, Borussia Dortmund 20%. Our call for the match is locked with a hash before kick-off and shown to VIP members. Probabilities, not guarantees.
When does Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?+
24 Nov 2026, 20:00 UK time, in the Champions League.
How are the predictions made?+
A Dixon-Coles goal model rates each team's attack and defence from recent results and turns expected goals into probabilities for every market.
Proof
This prediction is locked between 36 and 1 hours before kick-off; its hash then appears here and in the public record. Until then the numbers can still move with team news.


