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Spain La Liga
CA OsasunaLWLLD
v
MálagaDLDLL

CA Osasuna vs Málaga prediction · 22 Nov 2026, 17:30 UK

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Win chance
58%CA Osasuna
  • CA Osasuna 58%
  • Draw 25%
  • Málaga 17%

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Total goals

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Over 1.5 goals

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Both teams to score

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CA Osasuna vs Málaga preview

CA Osasuna host Málaga in the Spain La Liga on 22 Nov 2026, 17:30 UK time at Estadio El Sadar.

Win chances put this down as a game with a strong favourite: CA Osasuna 58%, draw 25%, Málaga 17%. Our actual call, the goals markets and the most likely scores are for VIP members.

CA Osasuna sit 16th on 12 points (12 scored, 23 conceded) and are struggling for results, with L-W-L-L-D in their last 5.

Málaga sit 20th on 5 points (9 scored, 23 conceded) and are struggling for results, with D-L-D-L-L in their last 5.

At home, CA Osasuna have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league games (5–4 on goals).

Away from home, Málaga have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games (3–9 on goals).

On average CA Osasuna score 1.0 and concede 1.9 per game; Málaga score 0.8 and concede 1.9.

The betting market is less confident in CA Osasuna (54% without the margin, draw 26%, Málaga 20%). The market has been the sharper guide in our backtest, so read the gap as a talking point, not an edge.

Probabilities, not guarantees. 18+. How the model works · Free Premier League predictor: call the score (£24,000 game)

Form and table
TeamPosPtsGF–GALast 5
CA Osasuna161212–23LWLLD
Málaga2059–23DLDLL
Full Spain La Liga table →

CA Osasuna vs Málaga: quick answers

Who will win CA Osasuna vs Málaga?+

Win chances: CA Osasuna 58%, draw 25%, Málaga 17%. Our call for the match is locked with a hash before kick-off and shown to VIP members. Probabilities, not guarantees.

When does CA Osasuna vs Málaga kick off?+

22 Nov 2026, 17:30 UK time, in the Spain La Liga.

How are the predictions made?+

A Dixon-Coles goal model rates each team's attack and defence from recent results and turns expected goals into probabilities for every market.

Proof

This prediction is locked between 36 and 1 hours before kick-off; its hash then appears here and in the public record. Until then the numbers can still move with team news.

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