Iceland vs Luxembourg prediction · 16 Nov 2026, 17:00 UK
VIP prediction
- Iceland 73%
- Draw 17%
- Luxembourg 10%
Priced from the betting market for this competition. How we price matches
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Iceland vs Luxembourg preview
Iceland host Luxembourg in the UEFA Nations League on 16 Nov 2026, 17:00 UK time at Ice Rink Laugardalur.
Win chances put this down as a game with a strong favourite: Iceland 73%, draw 17%, Luxembourg 10%. Our actual call, the goals markets and the most likely scores are for VIP members.
The betting market agrees closely, pricing Iceland at 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Probabilities, not guarantees. 18+. How the model works · Free Premier League predictor: call the score (£24,000 game)
Iceland vs Luxembourg: quick answers
Who will win Iceland vs Luxembourg?+
Win chances: Iceland 73%, draw 17%, Luxembourg 10%. Our call for the match is locked with a hash before kick-off and shown to VIP members. Probabilities, not guarantees.
When does Iceland vs Luxembourg kick off?+
16 Nov 2026, 17:00 UK time, in the UEFA Nations League.
How are the predictions made?+
A Dixon-Coles goal model rates each team's attack and defence from recent results and turns expected goals into probabilities for every market.
Proof
This prediction is locked between 36 and 1 hours before kick-off; its hash then appears here and in the public record. Until then the numbers can still move with team news.