Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen prediction · 21 Nov 2026, 15:00 UK
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- Kilmarnock 44%
- Draw 25%
- Aberdeen 31%
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Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen preview
Kilmarnock host Aberdeen in the Scotland Premiership on 21 Nov 2026, 15:00 UK time at Rugby Park.
Win chances put this down as a game with a clear but not overwhelming favourite: Kilmarnock 44%, draw 25%, Aberdeen 31%. Our actual call, the goals markets and the most likely scores are for VIP members.
Kilmarnock sit 12th on 9 points (13 scored, 29 conceded) and are struggling for results, with W-L-L-D-L in their last 5.
Aberdeen sit 11th on 11 points (12 scored, 18 conceded) and are struggling for results, with L-W-L-L-L in their last 5.
At home, Kilmarnock have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 league games (6–6 on goals).
Away from home, Aberdeen have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 league games (7–7 on goals).
On average Kilmarnock score 1.0 and concede 2.2 per game; Aberdeen score 1.0 and concede 1.5.
They met recently in the league: Aberdeen 0–0 Kilmarnock (2026-09-05).
The betting market is less confident in Kilmarnock (36% without the margin, draw 27%, Aberdeen 38%). The market has been the sharper guide in our backtest, so read the gap as a talking point, not an edge.
Probabilities, not guarantees. 18+. How the model works · Free Premier League predictor: call the score (£24,000 game)
| Team | Pos | Pts | GF–GA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock | 12 | 9 | 13–29 | WLLDL |
| Aberdeen | 11 | 11 | 12–18 | LWLLL |
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: quick answers
Who will win Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?+
Win chances: Kilmarnock 44%, draw 25%, Aberdeen 31%. Our call for the match is locked with a hash before kick-off and shown to VIP members. Probabilities, not guarantees.
When does Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen kick off?+
21 Nov 2026, 15:00 UK time, in the Scotland Premiership.
How are the predictions made?+
A Dixon-Coles goal model rates each team's attack and defence from recent results and turns expected goals into probabilities for every market.
Proof
This prediction is locked between 36 and 1 hours before kick-off; its hash then appears here and in the public record. Until then the numbers can still move with team news.