Málaga vs Athletic Bilbao prediction · 28 Nov 2026, 15:15 UK
VIP prediction
- Málaga 23%
- Draw 28%
- Athletic Bilbao 49%
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Málaga vs Athletic Bilbao preview
Málaga host Athletic Bilbao in the Spain La Liga on 28 Nov 2026, 15:15 UK time.
Win chances put this down as a game with a strong favourite: Málaga 23%, draw 28%, Athletic Bilbao 49%. Our actual call, the goals markets and the most likely scores are for VIP members.
Málaga sit 20th on 5 points (9 scored, 23 conceded) and are struggling for results, with D-L-D-L-L in their last 5.
Athletic Bilbao sit 7th on 16 points (15 scored, 11 conceded) and are in mixed form, with D-L-W-W-D in their last 5.
At home, Málaga have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games (5–11 on goals).
Away from home, Athletic Bilbao have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games (4–6 on goals).
On average Málaga score 0.8 and concede 1.9 per game; Athletic Bilbao score 1.4 and concede 1.0.
The betting market agrees closely, pricing Málaga at 20% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Probabilities, not guarantees. 18+. How the model works · Free Premier League predictor: call the score (£24,000 game)
| Team | Pos | Pts | GF–GA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga | 20 | 5 | 9–23 | DLDLL |
| Athletic Bilbao | 7 | 16 | 15–11 | DLWWD |
Málaga vs Athletic Bilbao: quick answers
Who will win Málaga vs Athletic Bilbao?+
Win chances: Málaga 23%, draw 28%, Athletic Bilbao 49%. Our call for the match is locked with a hash before kick-off and shown to VIP members. Probabilities, not guarantees.
When does Málaga vs Athletic Bilbao kick off?+
28 Nov 2026, 15:15 UK time, in the Spain La Liga.
How are the predictions made?+
A Dixon-Coles goal model rates each team's attack and defence from recent results and turns expected goals into probabilities for every market.
Proof
This prediction is locked between 36 and 1 hours before kick-off; its hash then appears here and in the public record. Until then the numbers can still move with team news.