Monza vs Fiorentina prediction · 23 Nov 2026, 19:45 UK
VIP prediction
- Monza 29%
- Draw 21%
- Fiorentina 50%
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Monza vs Fiorentina preview
Monza host Fiorentina in the Italy Serie A on 23 Nov 2026, 19:45 UK time.
Win chances put this down as a game with a clear but not overwhelming favourite: Monza 29%, draw 21%, Fiorentina 50%. Our actual call, the goals markets and the most likely scores are for VIP members.
Monza sit 18th on 7 points (17 scored, 25 conceded) and are struggling for results, with W-L-L-L-L in their last 5.
Fiorentina sit 15th on 9 points (17 scored, 25 conceded) and are in mixed form, with L-L-D-W-D in their last 5.
At home, Monza have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games (9–9 on goals).
Away from home, Fiorentina have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4 league games (10–8 on goals).
On average Monza score 1.5 and concede 2.3 per game; Fiorentina score 1.5 and concede 2.3.
The betting market agrees closely, pricing Monza at 26% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Probabilities, not guarantees. 18+. How the model works · Free Premier League predictor: call the score (£24,000 game)
| Team | Pos | Pts | GF–GA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monza | 18 | 7 | 17–25 | WLLLL |
| Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 17–25 | LLDWD |
Monza vs Fiorentina: quick answers
Who will win Monza vs Fiorentina?+
Win chances: Monza 29%, draw 21%, Fiorentina 50%. Our call for the match is locked with a hash before kick-off and shown to VIP members. Probabilities, not guarantees.
When does Monza vs Fiorentina kick off?+
23 Nov 2026, 19:45 UK time, in the Italy Serie A.
How are the predictions made?+
A Dixon-Coles goal model rates each team's attack and defence from recent results and turns expected goals into probabilities for every market.
Proof
This prediction is locked between 36 and 1 hours before kick-off; its hash then appears here and in the public record. Until then the numbers can still move with team news.