Nice vs Paris Saint Germain prediction · 21 Nov 2026, 16:15 UK
VIP prediction
- Nice 18%
- Draw 22%
- Paris Saint Germain 60%
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Nice vs Paris Saint Germain preview
Nice host Paris Saint Germain in the France Ligue 1 on 21 Nov 2026, 16:15 UK time at Allianz Riviera.
Win chances put this down as a game with a strong favourite: Nice 18%, draw 22%, Paris Saint Germain 60%. Our actual call, the goals markets and the most likely scores are for VIP members.
Nice sit 6th on 17 points (15 scored, 12 conceded) and are in excellent form, with W-L-W-W-W in their last 5.
Paris Saint Germain sit 1st on 23 points (22 scored, 10 conceded) and are in excellent form, with W-W-W-W-W in their last 5.
At home, Nice have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 league games (10–5 on goals).
Away from home, Paris Saint Germain have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 6 league games (15–7 on goals).
On average Nice score 1.5 and concede 1.2 per game; Paris Saint Germain score 2.2 and concede 1.0.
The betting market is less confident in Nice (14% without the margin, draw 19%, Paris Saint Germain 67%). The market has been the sharper guide in our backtest, so read the gap as a talking point, not an edge.
Probabilities, not guarantees. 18+. How the model works · Free Premier League predictor: call the score (£24,000 game)
| Team | Pos | Pts | GF–GA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 6 | 17 | 15–12 | WLWWW |
| Paris Saint Germain | 1 | 23 | 22–10 | WWWWW |
Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: quick answers
Who will win Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?+
Win chances: Nice 18%, draw 22%, Paris Saint Germain 60%. Our call for the match is locked with a hash before kick-off and shown to VIP members. Probabilities, not guarantees.
When does Nice vs Paris Saint Germain kick off?+
21 Nov 2026, 16:15 UK time, in the France Ligue 1.
How are the predictions made?+
A Dixon-Coles goal model rates each team's attack and defence from recent results and turns expected goals into probabilities for every market.
Proof
This prediction is locked between 36 and 1 hours before kick-off; its hash then appears here and in the public record. Until then the numbers can still move with team news.