Real Madrid vs Alavés prediction · 28 Nov 2026, 20:00 UK
VIP prediction
- Real Madrid 76%
- Draw 16%
- Alavés 8%
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Real Madrid vs Alavés preview
Real Madrid host Alavés in the Spain La Liga on 28 Nov 2026, 20:00 UK time.
Win chances put this down as a game with a strong favourite: Real Madrid 76%, draw 16%, Alavés 8%. Our actual call, the goals markets and the most likely scores are for VIP members.
Real Madrid sit 2nd on 30 points (31 scored, 10 conceded) and are in excellent form, with W-W-W-W-W in their last 5.
Alavés sit 12th on 13 points (15 scored, 17 conceded) and are struggling for results, with L-L-D-L-D in their last 5.
At home, Real Madrid have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 4 league games (13–2 on goals).
Away from home, Alavés have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games (3–10 on goals).
On average Real Madrid score 2.6 and concede 0.8 per game; Alavés score 1.3 and concede 1.4.
The betting market is more confident in Real Madrid (85% without the margin, draw 10%, Alavés 5%). The market has been the sharper guide in our backtest, so read the gap as a talking point, not an edge.
Probabilities, not guarantees. 18+. How the model works · Free Premier League predictor: call the score (£24,000 game)
| Team | Pos | Pts | GF–GA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 2 | 30 | 31–10 | WWWWW |
| Alavés | 12 | 13 | 15–17 | LLDLD |
Real Madrid vs Alavés: quick answers
Who will win Real Madrid vs Alavés?+
Win chances: Real Madrid 76%, draw 16%, Alavés 8%. Our call for the match is locked with a hash before kick-off and shown to VIP members. Probabilities, not guarantees.
When does Real Madrid vs Alavés kick off?+
28 Nov 2026, 20:00 UK time, in the Spain La Liga.
How are the predictions made?+
A Dixon-Coles goal model rates each team's attack and defence from recent results and turns expected goals into probabilities for every market.
Proof
This prediction is locked between 36 and 1 hours before kick-off; its hash then appears here and in the public record. Until then the numbers can still move with team news.