Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar prediction · 22 Nov 2026, 13:30 UK
VIP prediction
- Sparta Rotterdam 24%
- Draw 24%
- AZ Alkmaar 51%
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Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar preview
Sparta Rotterdam host AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands Eredivisie on 22 Nov 2026, 13:30 UK time at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel.
Win chances put this down as a game with a strong favourite: Sparta Rotterdam 24%, draw 24%, AZ Alkmaar 51%. Our actual call, the goals markets and the most likely scores are for VIP members.
Sparta Rotterdam sit 12th on 12 points (21 scored, 29 conceded) and are in mixed form, with D-W-L-W-L in their last 5.
AZ Alkmaar sit 5th on 23 points (24 scored, 16 conceded) and are struggling for results, with L-D-L-L-W in their last 5.
At home, Sparta Rotterdam have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games (9–13 on goals).
Away from home, AZ Alkmaar have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games (7–7 on goals).
On average Sparta Rotterdam score 1.8 and concede 2.4 per game; AZ Alkmaar score 2.0 and concede 1.3.
The betting market is less confident in Sparta Rotterdam (21% without the margin, draw 22%, AZ Alkmaar 56%). The market has been the sharper guide in our backtest, so read the gap as a talking point, not an edge.
Probabilities, not guarantees. 18+. How the model works · Free Premier League predictor: call the score (£24,000 game)
| Team | Pos | Pts | GF–GA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 | 21–29 | DWLWL |
| AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 23 | 24–16 | LDLLW |
Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar: quick answers
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar?+
Win chances: Sparta Rotterdam 24%, draw 24%, AZ Alkmaar 51%. Our call for the match is locked with a hash before kick-off and shown to VIP members. Probabilities, not guarantees.
When does Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar kick off?+
22 Nov 2026, 13:30 UK time, in the Netherlands Eredivisie.
How are the predictions made?+
A Dixon-Coles goal model rates each team's attack and defence from recent results and turns expected goals into probabilities for every market.
Proof
This prediction is locked between 36 and 1 hours before kick-off; its hash then appears here and in the public record. Until then the numbers can still move with team news.