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Germany Bundesliga
Bayer LeverkusenWWLLW
v
SC PaderbornLDWDD

Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn prediction · 21 Nov 2026, 14:30 UK

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Win chance
61%Bayer Leverkusen
  • Bayer Leverkusen 61%
  • Draw 22%
  • SC Paderborn 16%

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Over 1.5 goals

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Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn preview

Bayer Leverkusen host SC Paderborn in the Germany Bundesliga on 21 Nov 2026, 14:30 UK time at BayArena.

Win chances put this down as a game with a strong favourite: Bayer Leverkusen 61%, draw 22%, SC Paderborn 16%. Our actual call, the goals markets and the most likely scores are for VIP members.

Bayer Leverkusen sit 5th on 16 points (20 scored, 17 conceded) and are in good form, with W-W-L-L-W in their last 5.

SC Paderborn sit 13th on 10 points (8 scored, 11 conceded) and are in mixed form, with L-D-W-D-D in their last 5.

At home, Bayer Leverkusen have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 league games (10–5 on goals).

Away from home, SC Paderborn have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 4 league games (2–5 on goals).

On average Bayer Leverkusen score 2.2 and concede 1.9 per game; SC Paderborn score 0.9 and concede 1.2.

The betting market is more confident in Bayer Leverkusen (77% without the margin, draw 14%, SC Paderborn 9%). The market has been the sharper guide in our backtest, so read the gap as a talking point, not an edge.

Probabilities, not guarantees. 18+. How the model works · Free Premier League predictor: call the score (£24,000 game)

Form and table
TeamPosPtsGF–GALast 5
Bayer Leverkusen51620–17WWLLW
SC Paderborn13108–11LDWDD
Full Germany Bundesliga table →

Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn: quick answers

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn?+

Win chances: Bayer Leverkusen 61%, draw 22%, SC Paderborn 16%. Our call for the match is locked with a hash before kick-off and shown to VIP members. Probabilities, not guarantees.

When does Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn kick off?+

21 Nov 2026, 14:30 UK time, in the Germany Bundesliga.

How are the predictions made?+

A Dixon-Coles goal model rates each team's attack and defence from recent results and turns expected goals into probabilities for every market.

Proof

This prediction is locked between 36 and 1 hours before kick-off; its hash then appears here and in the public record. Until then the numbers can still move with team news.

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