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Germany Bundesliga
Union BerlinWDDDL
v
RB LeipzigWLWWW

Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig prediction · 21 Nov 2026, 14:30 UK

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Total goals
Win chance
57%RB Leipzig
  • Union Berlin 22%
  • Draw 22%
  • RB Leipzig 57%

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Over 1.5 goals

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Both teams to score

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Match winner

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Double chance

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Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig preview

Union Berlin host RB Leipzig in the Germany Bundesliga on 21 Nov 2026, 14:30 UK time.

Win chances put this down as a game with a strong favourite: Union Berlin 22%, draw 22%, RB Leipzig 57%. Our actual call, the goals markets and the most likely scores are for VIP members.

Union Berlin sit 16th on 7 points (7 scored, 21 conceded) and are in mixed form, with W-D-D-D-L in their last 5.

RB Leipzig sit 4th on 18 points (27 scored, 13 conceded) and are in excellent form, with W-L-W-W-W in their last 5.

At home, Union Berlin have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league games (6–7 on goals).

Away from home, RB Leipzig have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 league games (4–11 on goals).

On average Union Berlin score 0.8 and concede 2.3 per game; RB Leipzig score 3.0 and concede 1.4.

The betting market is less confident in Union Berlin (18% without the margin, draw 21%, RB Leipzig 61%). The market has been the sharper guide in our backtest, so read the gap as a talking point, not an edge.

Probabilities, not guarantees. 18+. How the model works · Free Premier League predictor: call the score (£24,000 game)

Form and table
TeamPosPtsGF–GALast 5
Union Berlin1677–21WDDDL
RB Leipzig41827–13WLWWW
Full Germany Bundesliga table →

Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig: quick answers

Who will win Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?+

Win chances: Union Berlin 22%, draw 22%, RB Leipzig 57%. Our call for the match is locked with a hash before kick-off and shown to VIP members. Probabilities, not guarantees.

When does Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig kick off?+

21 Nov 2026, 14:30 UK time, in the Germany Bundesliga.

How are the predictions made?+

A Dixon-Coles goal model rates each team's attack and defence from recent results and turns expected goals into probabilities for every market.

Proof

This prediction is locked between 36 and 1 hours before kick-off; its hash then appears here and in the public record. Until then the numbers can still move with team news.

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