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France Ligue 1
Paris Saint GermainWWWWW
v
LorientWWDLW

Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient prediction · 28 Nov 2026, 19:45 UK

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Match result
Win chance
68%Paris Saint Germain
  • Paris Saint Germain 68%
  • Draw 21%
  • Lorient 12%

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Total goals

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Over 1.5 goals

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Both teams to score

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Double chance

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Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient preview

Paris Saint Germain host Lorient in the France Ligue 1 on 28 Nov 2026, 19:45 UK time at Parc des Princes.

Win chances put this down as a game with a strong favourite: Paris Saint Germain 68%, draw 21%, Lorient 12%. Our actual call, the goals markets and the most likely scores are for VIP members.

Paris Saint Germain sit 1st on 23 points (22 scored, 10 conceded) and are in excellent form, with W-W-W-W-W in their last 5.

Lorient sit 10th on 15 points (9 scored, 8 conceded) and are in good form, with W-W-D-L-W in their last 5.

At home, Paris Saint Germain have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 league games (7–3 on goals).

Away from home, Lorient have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league games (4–2 on goals).

On average Paris Saint Germain score 2.2 and concede 1.0 per game; Lorient score 0.9 and concede 0.8.

The betting market is more confident in Paris Saint Germain (79% without the margin, draw 13%, Lorient 8%). The market has been the sharper guide in our backtest, so read the gap as a talking point, not an edge.

Probabilities, not guarantees. 18+. How the model works · Free Premier League predictor: call the score (£24,000 game)

Form and table
TeamPosPtsGF–GALast 5
Paris Saint Germain12322–10WWWWW
Lorient10159–8WWDLW
Full France Ligue 1 table →

Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient: quick answers

Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient?+

Win chances: Paris Saint Germain 68%, draw 21%, Lorient 12%. Our call for the match is locked with a hash before kick-off and shown to VIP members. Probabilities, not guarantees.

When does Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient kick off?+

28 Nov 2026, 19:45 UK time, in the France Ligue 1.

How are the predictions made?+

A Dixon-Coles goal model rates each team's attack and defence from recent results and turns expected goals into probabilities for every market.

Proof

This prediction is locked between 36 and 1 hours before kick-off; its hash then appears here and in the public record. Until then the numbers can still move with team news.

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