Sporting Lisbon vs Manchester United prediction · 25 Nov 2026, 20:00 UK
Free prediction
- Sporting Lisbon 56%
- Draw 19%
- Manchester United 25%
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Sporting Lisbon vs Manchester United preview
Sporting Lisbon host Manchester United in the Champions League on 25 Nov 2026, 20:00 UK time.
Win chances put this down as a game with a strong favourite: Sporting Lisbon 56%, draw 19%, Manchester United 25%. Our actual call, the goals markets and the most likely scores are for VIP members.
Sporting Lisbon sit 3rd on 24 points (24 scored, 11 conceded) and are in good form, with D-W-L-W-W in their last 5.
Manchester United sit 18th on 8 points (14 scored, 19 conceded) and are in mixed form, with D-D-L-L-D in their last 5.
At home, Sporting Lisbon have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 league games (12–7 on goals).
Away from home, Manchester United have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games (4–8 on goals).
On average Sporting Lisbon score 2.2 and concede 1.0 per game; Manchester United score 1.4 and concede 1.9.
The betting market is less confident in Sporting Lisbon (37% without the margin, draw 26%, Manchester United 36%). The market has been the sharper guide in our backtest, so read the gap as a talking point, not an edge.
Probabilities, not guarantees. 18+. How the model works · Free Premier League predictor: call the score (£24,000 game)
| Team | Pos | Pts | GF–GA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting LisbonPrimeira Liga | 3 | 24 | 24–11 | DWLWW |
| Manchester UnitedPremier League | 18 | 8 | 14–19 | DDLLD |
Sporting Lisbon vs Manchester United: quick answers
Who will win Sporting Lisbon vs Manchester United?+
Win chances: Sporting Lisbon 56%, draw 19%, Manchester United 25%. Our call for the match is locked with a hash before kick-off and shown to VIP members. Probabilities, not guarantees.
When does Sporting Lisbon vs Manchester United kick off?+
25 Nov 2026, 20:00 UK time, in the Champions League.
How are the predictions made?+
A Dixon-Coles goal model rates each team's attack and defence from recent results and turns expected goals into probabilities for every market.
Proof
This prediction is locked between 36 and 1 hours before kick-off; its hash then appears here and in the public record. Until then the numbers can still move with team news.