Stoke City vs Birmingham City prediction · 21 Nov 2026, 15:00 UK
VIP prediction
- Stoke City 32%
- Draw 29%
- Birmingham City 39%
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Stoke City vs Birmingham City preview
Stoke City host Birmingham City in the England Championship on 21 Nov 2026, 15:00 UK time at Bet365 Stadium.
Win chances put this down as a closely matched game: Stoke City 32%, draw 29%, Birmingham City 39%. Our actual call, the goals markets and the most likely scores are for VIP members.
Stoke City sit 3rd on 29 points (24 scored, 18 conceded) and are in excellent form, with W-D-W-W-W in their last 5.
Birmingham City sit 1st on 29 points (28 scored, 14 conceded) and are in excellent form, with W-L-W-W-W in their last 5.
At home, Stoke City have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 league games (6–4 on goals).
Away from home, Birmingham City have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games (7–5 on goals).
On average Stoke City score 1.6 and concede 1.2 per game; Birmingham City score 1.9 and concede 0.9.
The betting market agrees closely, pricing Stoke City at 33% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Probabilities, not guarantees. 18+. How the model works · Free Premier League predictor: call the score (£24,000 game)
| Team | Pos | Pts | GF–GA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 3 | 29 | 24–18 | WDWWW |
| Birmingham City | 1 | 29 | 28–14 | WLWWW |
Stoke City vs Birmingham City: quick answers
Who will win Stoke City vs Birmingham City?+
Win chances: Stoke City 32%, draw 29%, Birmingham City 39%. Our call for the match is locked with a hash before kick-off and shown to VIP members. Probabilities, not guarantees.
When does Stoke City vs Birmingham City kick off?+
21 Nov 2026, 15:00 UK time, in the England Championship.
How are the predictions made?+
A Dixon-Coles goal model rates each team's attack and defence from recent results and turns expected goals into probabilities for every market.
Proof
This prediction is locked between 36 and 1 hours before kick-off; its hash then appears here and in the public record. Until then the numbers can still move with team news.