Aston Villa vs Sunderland prediction · 21 Nov 2026, 15:00 UK
VIP prediction
- Aston Villa 54%
- Draw 25%
- Sunderland 21%
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Aston Villa vs Sunderland preview
Aston Villa host Sunderland in the England Premier League on 21 Nov 2026, 15:00 UK time at Villa Park.
Win chances put this down as a game with a strong favourite: Aston Villa 54%, draw 25%, Sunderland 21%. Our actual call, the goals markets and the most likely scores are for VIP members.
Aston Villa sit 10th on 13 points (14 scored, 17 conceded) and are in mixed form, with D-W-W-D-D in their last 5.
Sunderland sit 19th on 8 points (8 scored, 17 conceded) and are struggling for results, with L-L-D-L-W in their last 5.
At home, Aston Villa have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games (6–7 on goals).
Away from home, Sunderland have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 league games (6–13 on goals).
On average Aston Villa score 1.4 and concede 1.7 per game; Sunderland score 0.8 and concede 1.7.
The betting market agrees closely, pricing Aston Villa at 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Probabilities, not guarantees. 18+. How the model works · Free Premier League predictor: call the score (£24,000 game)
| Team | Pos | Pts | GF–GA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 10 | 13 | 14–17 | DWWDD |
| Sunderland | 19 | 8 | 8–17 | LLDLW |
Aston Villa vs Sunderland: quick answers
Who will win Aston Villa vs Sunderland?+
Win chances: Aston Villa 54%, draw 25%, Sunderland 21%. Our call for the match is locked with a hash before kick-off and shown to VIP members. Probabilities, not guarantees.
When does Aston Villa vs Sunderland kick off?+
21 Nov 2026, 15:00 UK time, in the England Premier League.
How are the predictions made?+
A Dixon-Coles goal model rates each team's attack and defence from recent results and turns expected goals into probabilities for every market.
Proof
This prediction is locked between 36 and 1 hours before kick-off; its hash then appears here and in the public record. Until then the numbers can still move with team news.