Newcastle United vs Arsenal prediction · 21 Nov 2026, 17:30 UK
VIP prediction
- Newcastle United 19%
- Draw 26%
- Arsenal 56%
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Newcastle United vs Arsenal preview
Newcastle United host Arsenal in the England Premier League on 21 Nov 2026, 17:30 UK time at St. James' Park.
Win chances put this down as a game with a strong favourite: Newcastle United 19%, draw 26%, Arsenal 56%. Our actual call, the goals markets and the most likely scores are for VIP members.
Newcastle United sit 12th on 12 points (13 scored, 16 conceded) and are struggling for results, with L-L-W-L-D in their last 5.
Arsenal sit 1st on 27 points (15 scored, 5 conceded) and are in excellent form, with W-W-W-W-W in their last 5.
At home, Newcastle United have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games (6–7 on goals).
Away from home, Arsenal have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 league games (5–3 on goals).
On average Newcastle United score 1.3 and concede 1.6 per game; Arsenal score 1.5 and concede 0.5.
The betting market agrees closely, pricing Newcastle United at 17% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Probabilities, not guarantees. 18+. How the model works · Free Premier League predictor: call the score (£24,000 game)
| Team | Pos | Pts | GF–GA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 12 | 12 | 13–16 | LLWLD |
| Arsenal | 1 | 27 | 15–5 | WWWWW |
Newcastle United vs Arsenal: quick answers
Who will win Newcastle United vs Arsenal?+
Win chances: Newcastle United 19%, draw 26%, Arsenal 56%. Our call for the match is locked with a hash before kick-off and shown to VIP members. Probabilities, not guarantees.
When does Newcastle United vs Arsenal kick off?+
21 Nov 2026, 17:30 UK time, in the England Premier League.
How are the predictions made?+
A Dixon-Coles goal model rates each team's attack and defence from recent results and turns expected goals into probabilities for every market.
Proof
This prediction is locked between 36 and 1 hours before kick-off; its hash then appears here and in the public record. Until then the numbers can still move with team news.