Chelsea vs Leeds United prediction · 21 Nov 2026, 15:00 UK
VIP prediction
- Chelsea 46%
- Draw 27%
- Leeds United 27%
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Chelsea vs Leeds United preview
Chelsea host Leeds United in the England Premier League on 21 Nov 2026, 15:00 UK time at Stamford Bridge.
Win chances put this down as a game with a clear but not overwhelming favourite: Chelsea 46%, draw 27%, Leeds United 27%. Our actual call, the goals markets and the most likely scores are for VIP members.
Chelsea sit 5th on 16 points (19 scored, 16 conceded) and are in good form, with W-W-L-W-L in their last 5.
Leeds United sit 9th on 14 points (10 scored, 8 conceded) and are in mixed form, with L-D-D-L-W in their last 5.
At home, Chelsea have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league games (13–8 on goals).
Away from home, Leeds United have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games (3–5 on goals).
On average Chelsea score 1.9 and concede 1.6 per game; Leeds United score 1.0 and concede 0.8.
The betting market is more confident in Chelsea (52% without the margin, draw 25%, Leeds United 23%). The market has been the sharper guide in our backtest, so read the gap as a talking point, not an edge.
Probabilities, not guarantees. 18+. How the model works · Free Premier League predictor: call the score (£24,000 game)
| Team | Pos | Pts | GF–GA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 5 | 16 | 19–16 | WWLWL |
| Leeds United | 9 | 14 | 10–8 | LDDLW |
Chelsea vs Leeds United: quick answers
Who will win Chelsea vs Leeds United?+
Win chances: Chelsea 46%, draw 27%, Leeds United 27%. Our call for the match is locked with a hash before kick-off and shown to VIP members. Probabilities, not guarantees.
When does Chelsea vs Leeds United kick off?+
21 Nov 2026, 15:00 UK time, in the England Premier League.
How are the predictions made?+
A Dixon-Coles goal model rates each team's attack and defence from recent results and turns expected goals into probabilities for every market.
Proof
This prediction is locked between 36 and 1 hours before kick-off; its hash then appears here and in the public record. Until then the numbers can still move with team news.