Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction · 22 Nov 2026, 14:30 UK
VIP prediction
- Augsburg 44%
- Draw 23%
- FSV Mainz 05 33%
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Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 preview
Augsburg host FSV Mainz 05 in the Germany Bundesliga on 22 Nov 2026, 14:30 UK time at WWK Arena.
Win chances put this down as a game with a clear but not overwhelming favourite: Augsburg 44%, draw 23%, FSV Mainz 05 33%. Our actual call, the goals markets and the most likely scores are for VIP members.
Augsburg sit 14th on 9 points (20 scored, 20 conceded) and are struggling for results, with D-L-D-L-L in their last 5.
FSV Mainz 05 sit 12th on 10 points (18 scored, 19 conceded) and are struggling for results, with L-W-L-L-L in their last 5.
At home, Augsburg have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league games (9–7 on goals).
Away from home, FSV Mainz 05 have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 league games (11–7 on goals).
On average Augsburg score 2.2 and concede 2.2 per game; FSV Mainz 05 score 2.0 and concede 2.1.
The betting market is less confident in Augsburg (35% without the margin, draw 24%, FSV Mainz 05 41%). The market has been the sharper guide in our backtest, so read the gap as a talking point, not an edge.
Probabilities, not guarantees. 18+. How the model works · Free Premier League predictor: call the score (£24,000 game)
| Team | Pos | Pts | GF–GA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augsburg | 14 | 9 | 20–20 | DLDLL |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 12 | 10 | 18–19 | LWLLL |
Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05: quick answers
Who will win Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05?+
Win chances: Augsburg 44%, draw 23%, FSV Mainz 05 33%. Our call for the match is locked with a hash before kick-off and shown to VIP members. Probabilities, not guarantees.
When does Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 kick off?+
22 Nov 2026, 14:30 UK time, in the Germany Bundesliga.
How are the predictions made?+
A Dixon-Coles goal model rates each team's attack and defence from recent results and turns expected goals into probabilities for every market.
Proof
This prediction is locked between 36 and 1 hours before kick-off; its hash then appears here and in the public record. Until then the numbers can still move with team news.