FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin prediction · 28 Nov 2026, 14:30 UK
VIP prediction
- FSV Mainz 05 59%
- Draw 22%
- Union Berlin 19%
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FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin preview
FSV Mainz 05 host Union Berlin in the Germany Bundesliga on 28 Nov 2026, 14:30 UK time at Mewa Arena.
Win chances put this down as a game with a strong favourite: FSV Mainz 05 59%, draw 22%, Union Berlin 19%. Our actual call, the goals markets and the most likely scores are for VIP members.
FSV Mainz 05 sit 12th on 10 points (18 scored, 19 conceded) and are struggling for results, with L-W-L-L-L in their last 5.
Union Berlin sit 16th on 7 points (7 scored, 21 conceded) and are in mixed form, with W-D-D-D-L in their last 5.
At home, FSV Mainz 05 have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 league games (7–12 on goals).
Away from home, Union Berlin have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 4 league games (1–14 on goals).
On average FSV Mainz 05 score 2.0 and concede 2.1 per game; Union Berlin score 0.8 and concede 2.3.
The betting market is more confident in FSV Mainz 05 (64% without the margin, draw 20%, Union Berlin 16%). The market has been the sharper guide in our backtest, so read the gap as a talking point, not an edge.
Probabilities, not guarantees. 18+. How the model works · Free Premier League predictor: call the score (£24,000 game)
| Team | Pos | Pts | GF–GA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 12 | 10 | 18–19 | LWLLL |
| Union Berlin | 16 | 7 | 7–21 | WDDDL |
FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin: quick answers
Who will win FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin?+
Win chances: FSV Mainz 05 59%, draw 22%, Union Berlin 19%. Our call for the match is locked with a hash before kick-off and shown to VIP members. Probabilities, not guarantees.
When does FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin kick off?+
28 Nov 2026, 14:30 UK time, in the Germany Bundesliga.
How are the predictions made?+
A Dixon-Coles goal model rates each team's attack and defence from recent results and turns expected goals into probabilities for every market.
Proof
This prediction is locked between 36 and 1 hours before kick-off; its hash then appears here and in the public record. Until then the numbers can still move with team news.