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Germany Bundesliga
Hamburger SVWWLLW
v
Bayern MunichDWWDW

Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich prediction · 28 Nov 2026, 14:30 UK

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Match result
Win chance
78%Bayern Munich
  • Hamburger SV 9%
  • Draw 13%
  • Bayern Munich 78%

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Total goals

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Over 1.5 goals

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Both teams to score

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Double chance

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Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich preview

Hamburger SV host Bayern Munich in the Germany Bundesliga on 28 Nov 2026, 14:30 UK time at Volksparkstadion.

Win chances put this down as a game with a strong favourite: Hamburger SV 9%, draw 13%, Bayern Munich 78%. Our actual call, the goals markets and the most likely scores are for VIP members.

Hamburger SV sit 11th on 12 points (10 scored, 20 conceded) and are in good form, with W-W-L-L-W in their last 5.

Bayern Munich sit 1st on 21 points (29 scored, 9 conceded) and are in good form, with D-W-W-D-W in their last 5.

At home, Hamburger SV have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 league games (6–7 on goals).

Away from home, Bayern Munich have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 league games (9–5 on goals).

On average Hamburger SV score 1.1 and concede 2.2 per game; Bayern Munich score 3.2 and concede 1.0.

The betting market is less confident in Hamburger SV (6% without the margin, draw 9%, Bayern Munich 85%). The market has been the sharper guide in our backtest, so read the gap as a talking point, not an edge.

Probabilities, not guarantees. 18+. How the model works · Free Premier League predictor: call the score (£24,000 game)

Form and table
TeamPosPtsGF–GALast 5
Hamburger SV111210–20WWLLW
Bayern Munich12129–9DWWDW
Full Germany Bundesliga table →

Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich: quick answers

Who will win Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich?+

Win chances: Hamburger SV 9%, draw 13%, Bayern Munich 78%. Our call for the match is locked with a hash before kick-off and shown to VIP members. Probabilities, not guarantees.

When does Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich kick off?+

28 Nov 2026, 14:30 UK time, in the Germany Bundesliga.

How are the predictions made?+

A Dixon-Coles goal model rates each team's attack and defence from recent results and turns expected goals into probabilities for every market.

Proof

This prediction is locked between 36 and 1 hours before kick-off; its hash then appears here and in the public record. Until then the numbers can still move with team news.

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